As witnessed by the 1st wave of the Corona Virus, COVID-19 has overwhelmed hospitals
worldwide and exhausted valuable resources such as bed capacities, medical equipment, personal
protective equipment (PPE) stocks and healthcare personnel. These factors imposed unforeseen
challenges on the design, operation and control of healthcare treatment systems. Logistical and
operational inefficiencies are detrimental during pandemics and are amongst the biggest reasons
why healthcare systems fail to minimize death rates and spreads of pandemics. In the inevitable
chance of future pandemics, or in the chance of repeated waves of the COVID-19 virus and
mutagenic variants, countries and healthcare systems must pursue ways to predict the growth and
spread of the virus, implement strategies to contain it, and prepare their facilities and resources
accordingly. Mitigating operational inefficiencies by learning from COVID-19 is necessary to be
better prepared in the future and save many lives and economic resources. The main goal of this
study is the development of an optimized healthcare treatment network by using epidemiology
curves to predict future influxes of COVID-19 patients, and then to optimize the In-Patient (IP)
and Intensive Care Unit (ICU) bed capacities in a hospital facility, and finally to determine required
levels of personal protective equipment. Our model seeks to determine the optimized bed capacity
based on the flow of patients, by distinguishing them in terms of medical severity and allocating
patients in the best possible manner in an existing or installed healthcare facility with a fixed
limited capacity. Considering the different dates of hospital admission and discharge of patients
from 2020’s 1st wave of COVID-19 and the upcoming expected influx of patients, we will be able
to determine the bed space availability at any given future date. This will enable us to prescribe
innovative solutions engineered to increase the capacity, responsiveness, and preparedness of
healthcare systems infrastructure and management. In a post-optimization step, the results of the
flow of patients will also allow us to determine the number of staffing required for the expected
patients, and consecutively the amount of PPE required to be used by those staff as well. This
optimization will allow medical corporations to a) design and operate healthcare treatment systems
and b) determine and allocate required resources in a time of crisis to withstand a medical surge.
| Date of Award | 2021 |
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| Original language | American English |
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| Awarding Institution | - HBKU College of Science and Engineering
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Optimization of the Design and Operation of a Healthcare Facility: The COVID-19 Case
Sawaly, M. (Author). 2021
Student thesis: Master's Dissertation