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The Burden of Dementia due to Down Syndrome, Parkinson's Disease, Stroke, and Traumatic Brain Injury: A Systematic Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

  • GBD 2019 Dementia Collaborators
  • IHME
  • University of Washington
  • Egyptian Knowledge Bank (EKB)
  • Dept Parasitol & Mycol
  • University of Sharjah
  • University of Ibadan
  • Newcastle University
  • Imam Abdulrahman Bin Faisal University
  • Iran University of Medical Sciences
  • Curtin University
  • Universiti Sultan Zainal Abidin
  • Medical University Lodz
  • Polish Mother's Memorial Hospital - Research Institute
  • Universidad Latina de Costa Rica
  • Auckland University of Technology
  • Munster Technological University
  • Charles University in Prague
  • United Arab Emirates University
  • DBT India Alliance/Wellcome Trust Department of Biotechnology, India Alliance
  • University of Calcutta
  • Babol University of Medical Sciences
  • University of Catania
  • Institute of Post Graduate Medical Education & Research (IPGMER), Kolkata
  • Nazarbayev University
  • Manipal Academy of Higher Education (MAHE)
  • University of Cambridge
  • Helmholtz School for Marine Data Science - Helmholtz Association
  • Australian National University
  • Dept Community Med
  • Hospital Italiano de Buenos Aires
  • Universidade Do Porto
  • University of Melbourne
  • Australian Catholic University
  • University of Hong Kong
  • Sicilian Reg Hlth Author
  • Seoul National University (SNU)
  • Hanoi National University of Education
  • University of Gondar
  • Duy Tan University
  • Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico
  • Tehran University of Medical Sciences
  • Ministry of Health & Medical Education (MOHME)
  • University of Cape Coast Ghana
  • Kerman University of Medical Sciences
  • Research Center of Neurology
  • Karolinska Institutet
  • University of Ottawa

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Background: In light of the increasing trend in the global number of individuals affected by dementia and the lack of any available disease-modifying therapies, it is necessary to fully understand and quantify the global burden of dementia. This work aimed to estimate the proportion of dementia due to Down syndrome, Parkinson's disease, clinical stroke, and traumatic brain injury (TBI), globally and by world region, in order to better understand the contribution of clinical diseases to dementia prevalence. Methods: Through literature review, we obtained data on the relative risk of dementia with each condition and estimated relative risks by age using a Bayesian meta-regression tool. We then calculated population attributable fractions (PAFs), or the proportion of dementia attributable to each condition, using the estimates of relative risk and prevalence estimates for each condition from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. Finally, we multiplied these estimates by dementia prevalence to calculate the number of dementia cases attributable to each condition. Findings: For each clinical condition, the relative risk of dementia decreased with age. Relative risks were highest for Down syndrome, followed by Parkinson's disease, stroke, and TBI. However, due to the high prevalence of stroke, the PAF for dementia due to stroke was highest. Together, Down syndrome, Parkinson's disease, stroke, and TBI explained 10.0% (95% UI: 6.0-16.5) of the global prevalence of dementia. Interpretation: Ten percent of dementia prevalence globally could be explained by Down syndrome, Parkinson's disease, stroke, and TBI. The quantification of the proportion of dementia attributable to these 4 conditions constitutes a small contribution to our overall understanding of what causes dementia. However, epidemiological research into modifiable risk factors as well as basic science research focused on elucidating intervention approaches to prevent or delay the neuropathological changes that commonly characterize dementia will be critically important in future efforts to prevent and treat disease.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)286-296
Number of pages11
JournalNeuroepidemiology
Volume55
Issue number4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 27 Jan 2021

Keywords

  • Burden of disease
  • Dementia
  • Global health
  • Meta-analysis
  • Public health

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