Abstract
Accurate and real-time leak detection in multiphase subsea pipelines remains a challenging problem due to highly nonlinear flow interactions, sparse sensor availability, and the limited generalization capability of traditional data-driven and CFD-based approaches. Existing intelligent leak detection methods often fail to incorporate the underlying physical laws, while current physics-informed models typically address only single-task predictions and lack uncertainty awareness, limiting their reliability in practical offshore environments. To address these gaps, this study proposes a Multi-Head Physics-informed neural network (MPINN) that simultaneously estimates leak location, leak size, and pressure distribution while enforcing multiphase flow physics through embedded governing equations. The framework integrates a physics-consistent loss formulation, task-decoupled prediction heads, and Monte Carlo–based uncertainty quantification to enhance robustness under noisy and sparse real-world conditions. Experimental evaluation shows that MPINN achieves 100 % leak classification accuracy, an R² of 95 % for leak size prediction, and an R² of 96.25 % for leak location estimation, significantly improving spatial characterization performance. The model also produces calibrated confidence intervals that effectively capture aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty, strengthening its reliability for risk-informed decision-making. Overall, this work introduces a unified, physics-aware, and uncertainty-informed framework that advances the state of the art in intelligent multiphase pipeline monitoring and provides a practical foundation for future industrial deployment.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Article number | 108532 |
| Journal | Process Safety and Environmental Protection |
| Volume | 211 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 1 May 2026 |
Keywords
- Convolutional Neural Network (CNNs)
- Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI)
- Leak Detection
- Monte Carlo Dropout
- Multiphase
- Physics-informed neural network (PINNs)
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