Impact of Somatic Gene Mutations on Prognosis Prediction in De Novo AML: Unraveling Insights from a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background: Wide application of genome sequencing technologies has highlighted extensive genetic diversity in Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML), yet the specific roles of individual genes remain unclear. This systematic review and meta-analysis aims to provide robust evidence for the prognostic impact of somatic gene mutations in de novo AML patients, while also exploring the prevalence of these mutations. Methods: Eligible studies were identified from PubMed and Scopus, with a focus on those reporting the prognostic influence of somatic gene mutations on overall survival (OS) or relapse-free survival (RFS) when compared to wild-type carriers. We calculated the pooled prevalence with 95% confidence intervals to assess the frequency of these mutations, and the pooled Hazard Ratio (HR) to compare OS and RFS associated with specific gene mutations. Results: We evaluated 53 somatic gene mutations using 80 studies, involving 20,048 de novo AML patients. The analysis revealed that the most prevalent affected genes were NPM1 (27%), DNMT3A (26%), and FLT3-ITD (24%). Mutations in CSF3R, TET2, and TP53 were significantly associated with poorer OS or RFS (p < 0.05). Sensitivity analysis confirmed that ASXL1, DNMT3A, and RUNX1 mutations were consistently linked to inferior OS or RFS. In contrast, CEBPAdm mutations were associated with favorable OS [HR = 0.39 (0.30–0.50)] and RFS [HR = 0.44 (0.37–0.54)]. Subgroup analysis showed that FLT3-ITD mutations were consistently associated with worse OS or RFS across all subgroups, though no significant subgroup differences were noted. No significant impact on OS or RFS was observed for mutations in GATA2, FLT3-TKD, KRAS, NRAS, IDH1, and IDH2. Conclusions: These findings provide critical insights into AML prognosis, aiding clinical decision-making and improving risk stratification strategies.