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Global, regional, and national burden of diseases and injuries for adults 70 years and older: systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease 2019 Study

  • GBD 2019 Ageing Collaborators
  • Hong Kong Polytechnic University
  • University of Washington
  • Norwegian Institute of Public Health (NIPH)
  • World Health Organization
  • Egyptian Knowledge Bank (EKB)
  • Tehran University of Medical Sciences
  • University of Southern California
  • Karolinska Institutet
  • Dept Publ Hlth
  • Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais
  • Dept Res
  • Imam Abdulrahman Bin Faisal University
  • Hamadan University of Medical Sciences
  • University of Ibadan
  • Dept Sociol
  • University of London
  • Stellenbosch University
  • Ardabil University of Medical Sciences
  • National Institutes of Health (NIH) - USA
  • Georgetown University
  • Mayo Clinic Rochester, MN
  • McMaster University
  • Dept Epidemiol & Biostat
  • Council of Scientific & Industrial Research (CSIR), Government of India
  • Baylor College of Medicine
  • MAHSA University
  • Southeast University - China
  • University of Nottingham
  • University of Lincoln
  • Ahvaz Jundishapur University of Medical Sciences (AJUMS)
  • Jimma University Ethiopia
  • University of South Australia
  • Newcastle University
  • Washington University (WUSTL)
  • Murdoch University
  • Instituto Nacional de Salud Publica
  • Arba Minch University
  • American University of Beirut
  • Inst Hlth Res
  • Sultan Qaboos University
  • Directorate Social Stat & Populat Census
  • Qazvin University of Medical Sciences (QUMS)
  • Iran University of Medical Sciences
  • Kuwait University
  • Universite de Bordeaux
  • Cleveland Clinic Foundation
  • Maharishi Markandeshwar University, Mullana

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

OBJECTIVES To use data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019 (GBD 2019) to estimate mortality and disability trends for the population aged a70 and evaluate patterns in causes of death, disability, and risk factors. DESIGN Systematic analysis. SETTING Participants were aged a70 from 204 countries and territories, 1990-2019. MAIN OUTCOMES MEASURES Years of life lost, years lived with disability, disability adjusted life years, life expectancy at age 70 (LE 70), healthy life expectancy at age 70 (HALE-70), proportion of years in ill health at age 70 (PYIH-70), risk factors, and data coverage index were estimated based on standardised GBD methods. RESULTS Globally the population of older adults has increased since 1990 and all cause death rates have decreased for men and women. However, mortality rates due to falls increased between 1990 and 2019. The probability of death among people aged 70-90 decreased, mainly because of reductions in non communicable diseases. Globally disability burden was largely driven by functional decline, vision and hearing loss, and symptoms of pain. LE-70 and HALE 70 showed continuous increases since 1990 globally, with certain regional disparities. Globally higher LE-70 resulted in higher HALE-70 and slightly increased PYIH-70. Sociodemographic and healthcare access and quality indices were positively correlated with HALE-70 and LE-70. For high exposure risk factors, data coverage was moderate, while limited data were available for various dietary, environmental or occupational, and metabolic risks. CONCLUSIONS Life expectancy at age 70 has continued to rise globally, mostly because of decreases in chronic diseases. Adults aged a70 living in high income countries and regions with better healthcare access and quality were found to experience the highest life expectancy and healthy life expectancy. Disability burden, however, remained constant, suggesting the need to enhance public health and intervention programmes to improve wellbeing among older adults.
Original languageEnglish
Article numbere068208
Number of pages15
JournalBmj-british Medical Journal
Volume376
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 3 Sept 2022

Keywords

  • Health
  • Mortality
  • Care
  • Morbidity
  • Obesity
  • Decline
  • Risk

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