End-of-Life Prediction Models for Lithium-ion Batteries in Electric Vehicles: Approaches, Challenges and Future Directions

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

As the global transition toward electrification accelerates across the transportation and stationary energy storage sectors, the critical need for accurate end-of-life (EoL) prediction of lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) has become increasingly apparent. Current battery failures impose substantial costs on manufacturers through warranty claims, while creating significant safety risks that threaten both electric vehicle (EV) adoption and grid-scale energy storage deployment. This paper examines the modeling approaches to predict the EoL and the remaining useful life (RUL) of LIBs in EVs. The paper includes data-driven models, physics-based approaches, and hybrid frameworks. Through systematic analysis of recent advances, the paper identifies that hybrid models demonstrate superior performance compared to single-approach methods, effectively addressing the inherent limitations of individual methodologies across diverse operating conditions. Key challenges remain in Battery Management System (BMS) integration complexity, data quality constraints, and real-time computational requirements. The proposed review establishes that next-generation prediction systems and incorporates transfer learning, digital twin technologies, and second-life battery strategies to support sustainable EV adoption and circular economy principles.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationIECON 2025 - 51st Annual Conference of the IEEE Industrial Electronics Society
PublisherIEEE Computer Society
ISBN (Electronic)9798331596811
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2025
Event51st Annual Conference of the IEEE Industrial Electronics Society, IECON 2025 - Madrid, Spain
Duration: 14 Oct 202517 Oct 2025

Publication series

NameIECON Proceedings (Industrial Electronics Conference)
ISSN (Print)2162-4704
ISSN (Electronic)2577-1647

Conference

Conference51st Annual Conference of the IEEE Industrial Electronics Society, IECON 2025
Country/TerritorySpain
CityMadrid
Period14/10/2517/10/25

Keywords

  • battery degradation
  • end-of-life prediction
  • Lithium-ion batteries
  • remaining useful life

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