Community-aware prediction of virality timing using big data of social cascades

Alvin Junus, Cheung Ming, James She, Zhanming Jie

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

6 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Predicting the virality of contents is attractive for many applications in today's big data era. Previous works mostly focus on final popularity, but predicting the time at which content gets popular (virality timing), is essential for applications such as viral marketing. This work proposes a community-aware iterative algorithm to predict virality timing of contents in social media using big data of user dynamics in social cascades and community structure in social networks. From the continuously generated big data, the algorithm uses the increasing amount of data to make self-corrections on the virality timing prediction and improve its prediction. Experimental results on viral stories from a social network, Digg, prove that the proposed algorithm is able to predict virally timing effectively, with the prediction error bounded within 30% with 20% of data.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings - 2015 IEEE 1st International Conference on Big Data Computing Service and Applications, BigDataService 2015
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages487-492
Number of pages6
ISBN (Electronic)9781479981281
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 10 Aug 2015
Externally publishedYes
Event1st IEEE International Conference on Big Data Computing Service and Applications, BigDataService 2015 - San Francisco, United States
Duration: 30 Mar 20153 Apr 2015

Publication series

NameProceedings - 2015 IEEE 1st International Conference on Big Data Computing Service and Applications, BigDataService 2015

Conference

Conference1st IEEE International Conference on Big Data Computing Service and Applications, BigDataService 2015
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CitySan Francisco
Period30/03/153/04/15

Keywords

  • big data
  • community structure
  • social cascade
  • social networks
  • virality prediction
  • virality timing

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