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Causes of blindness and vision impairment in 2020 and trends over 30 years, and prevalence of avoidable blindness in relation to VISION 2020: The Right to Sight: An analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study

  • GBD 2019 Blindness and Vision Impairment Collaborators on behalf of the Vision Loss Expert Group of the Global Burden of Disease Study
  • University of Washington
  • Anglia Ruskin University
  • Imperial College London
  • University of Melbourne
  • Heidelberg University 
  • Capital Medical University
  • Jahrom University of Medical Science
  • Aksum University
  • Cairo University
  • University of Sharjah
  • Wolkite University
  • Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences
  • Fred Hollows Foundation
  • Berhan Public Health & Eye Care Consultancy
  • Iran University of Medical Sciences
  • Leipzig University
  • Charité – Universitätsmedizin Berlin
  • University of Thessaly
  • Visibility Metrics LLC
  • Adigrat University
  • San Raffaele Hospital
  • Vita-Salute San Raffaele University
  • Tehran University of Medical Sciences
  • Bahar Dar University
  • University of Ioannina
  • Foundation for Research and Technology-Hellas
  • Universiti Sultan Zainal Abidin
  • Harvard University
  • New York University
  • Charles University
  • United Arab Emirates University
  • Government Medical College Pali
  • All India Institute of Medical Sciences, Jodhpur
  • National Institute of Biomedical Genomics
  • University of Calcutta
  • Babol University of Medical Sciences
  • Bashkir State Medical University
  • Middlesex University
  • Moorfields Eye Hospital NHS Foundation Trust
  • London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
  • Université de Bourgogne
  • Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté
  • Employee State Insurance Post Graduate Institute of Medical Sciences and Research
  • University of Waterloo
  • Al-Shifa Trust Eye Hospital
  • Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Lausanne
  • University of Minho
  • Association of Licensed Optometry Professionals
  • Adelaide University
  • Singapore National Eye Center
  • Ophthalmology & Visual Sciences Academic Clinical Program
  • Seoul National University
  • Hanoi National University of Education
  • San Raffaele Scientific Institute
  • University Hospital Center of Santo António
  • Queen's University Belfast
  • ORBIS International
  • University of Porto
  • Imam Abdulrahman Bin Faisal University
  • Public Health Foundation of India
  • Indian Council of Medical Research
  • University of Michigan, Ann Arbor
  • Gondar University
  • Liverpool University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust
  • Aristotle University of Thessaloniki
  • Universiti Tunku Abdul Rahman
  • Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
  • Universidad Autonoma de Sinaloa
  • Iranian Ministry of Health and Medical Education
  • Mahatma Gandhi University Medical Sciences
  • National Institutes of Health
  • Shahroud University of Medical Sciences
  • Universidade Federal de São Paulo
  • Ravensburg-Weingarten University of Applied Sciences
  • Universidade de São Paulo
  • Datta Meghe Institute of Medical Sciences
  • University College London
  • Haramaya University
  • Medical Research Foundation, Chennai
  • The University of Lahore
  • Afro-Asian Institute
  • Hamdan Bin Mohammed Smart University
  • University of Georgia
  • University of Utah
  • Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Kesehatan Indonesia Maju
  • Jigjiga University
  • University of Veterinary and Animal Sciences, Lahore, Pakistan
  • Xi'an Jiaotong University
  • Independent Consultant
  • The University of Hong Kong
  • Manipal Academy of Higher Education
  • Yale University
  • University of Ibadan
  • University of Belgrade
  • University of Kragujevac
  • Independent Consultant 1
  • Deakin University
  • The University of Sydney
  • University of Hail
  • University of Hyderabad
  • Government Medical College
  • Dr. Baba Saheb Ambedkar Medical College & Hospital
  • Banaras Hindu University
  • Les Ophtalmologistes Associés de Monastir
  • Qazvin University of Medical Sciences
  • Sydney Local Health District
  • John Paul II Catholic University of Lublin
  • Drohobych State Pedagogical University of Ivan Franko
  • Institute of Human Virology Nigeria
  • Utrecht University
  • Myungsung Medical College
  • University of Monastir
  • Baku State University
  • Azerbaijan National Academy of Sciences
  • Health Services Academy
  • L.V. Prasad Eye Institute India
  • University of New South Wales
  • Executive Board of the Health Ministers' Council for the Gulf Cooperation Council States
  • Yonsei University
  • Independent Consultant
  • Medical College of Wisconsin
  • Gazi University
  • Xiamen University
  • Kristiania University College
  • Tulane University
  • Coventry University
  • McMaster University
  • Oslo Metropolitan University
  • Biomedical Research Networking Center for Mental Health Network
  • ICREA
  • Institute of Medical Sciences
  • Ministry of Health
  • HelpMeSee, Inc.
  • Mexican Institute of Ophthalmology
  • Nova Southeastern University
  • CHU de Poitiers
  • Institut national de la santé et de la recherche médicale
  • Health Information Services
  • BGS Global Institute of Medical Sciences
  • Kermanshah University of Medical Sciences
  • University of Manitoba
  • Glaucoma Research Center
  • University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus
  • Swansea Bay University Health Board
  • Mekelle University
  • Arba Minch University
  • University of Lausanne
  • Pacific Institute for Research and Evaluation
  • Curtin University
  • King Saud University
  • Samara University
  • World Health Organization
  • TMSS Medical College
  • Sofia Ismail Memorial Medical Centre
  • Lighthouse Guild
  • Columbia University
  • Woldia University
  • Hamedan University of Medical Sciences and Health Services
  • University of KwaZulu-Natal
  • Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology
  • Kursk State Medical University
  • Suraj Eye Institute
  • Mysore Medical College
  • University of Central Punjab
  • Duy Tan University
  • Western Sydney University
  • Sightsavers
  • University of Lagos
  • University of Nigeria
  • University College Hospital, Ibadan
  • Shiraz University of Medical Sciences
  • Charutar Arogya Mandal
  • University of Adelaide
  • Tairunnessa Memorial Medical College and Hospital
  • Maharishi Markandeshwar Medical College & Hospital
  • Johns Hopkins University
  • University College London Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust
  • UK Health Security Agency
  • Central Queensland University
  • University of Milan
  • Halal Research Center of the Islamic Republic of Iran
  • Mashhad University of Medical Sciences
  • Ain Shams University
  • Hamad Medical Corporation
  • Bournemouth University
  • Jawaharlal Institute of Postgraduate Medical Education and Research
  • Swiss Research Institute for Public Health and Addiction
  • An-Najah National University
  • Independent Consultant
  • King's College London
  • Debre Berhan University
  • National Institute of Infectious Diseases
  • Pan American Health Organization
  • SpaMedica Research Institute
  • University of Alabama at Birmingham
  • Department of Veterans Affairs
  • Gmers Medical College and Civil Hospital
  • University of Indonesia
  • Hywel Dda University Health Board
  • Moscow Research and Practical Centre on Addictions
  • Balashiha Central Hospital
  • Semnan University of Medical Sciences
  • Directive Board
  • International Medical University
  • University of Pennsylvania
  • Rajshahi University
  • Hanoi Medical University
  • University of Crete
  • Southern California Eye Institute
  • University of Florence
  • Nguyen Tat Thanh University
  • Duke-NUS Medical School
  • National Center of Neurology and Psychiatry Kodaira
  • Juntendo University
  • Wuhan University
  • Russian Medical Academy of Continuous Professional Education
  • Brien Holden Vision Institute

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Background: Many causes of vision impairment can be prevented or treated. With an ageing global population, the demands for eye health services are increasing. We estimated the prevalence and relative contribution of avoidable causes of blindness and vision impairment globally from 1990 to 2020. We aimed to compare the results with the World Health Assembly Global Action Plan (WHA GAP) target of a 25% global reduction from 2010 to 2019 in avoidable vision impairment, defined as cataract and undercorrected refractive error. Methods: We did a systematic review and meta-analysis of population-based surveys of eye disease from January, 1980, to October, 2018. We fitted hierarchical models to estimate prevalence (with 95% uncertainty intervals [UIs]) of moderate and severe vision impairment (MSVI; presenting visual acuity from <6/18 to 3/60) and blindness (<3/60 or less than 10° visual field around central fixation) by cause, age, region, and year. Because of data sparsity at younger ages, our analysis focused on adults aged 50 years and older. Findings: Global crude prevalence of avoidable vision impairment and blindness in adults aged 50 years and older did not change between 2010 and 2019 (percentage change −0·2% [95% UI −1·5 to 1·0]; 2019 prevalence 9·58 cases per 1000 people [95% IU 8·51 to 10·8], 2010 prevalence 96·0 cases per 1000 people [86·0 to 107·0]). Age-standardised prevalence of avoidable blindness decreased by −15·4% [–16·8 to −14·3], while avoidable MSVI showed no change (0·5% [–0·8 to 1·6]). However, the number of cases increased for both avoidable blindness (10·8% [8·9 to 12·4]) and MSVI (31·5% [30·0 to 33·1]). The leading global causes of blindness in those aged 50 years and older in 2020 were cataract (15·2 million cases [9% IU 12·7–18·0]), followed by glaucoma (3·6 million cases [2·8–4·4]), undercorrected refractive error (2·3 million cases [1·8–2·8]), age-related macular degeneration (1·8 million cases [1·3–2·4]), and diabetic retinopathy (0·86 million cases [0·59–1·23]). Leading causes of MSVI were undercorrected refractive error (86·1 million cases [74·2–101·0]) and cataract (78·8 million cases [67·2–91·4]). Interpretation: Results suggest eye care services contributed to the observed reduction of age-standardised rates of avoidable blindness but not of MSVI, and that the target in an ageing global population was not reached. Funding: Brien Holden Vision Institute, Fondation Théa, The Fred Hollows Foundation, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Lions Clubs International Foundation, Sightsavers International, and University of Heidelberg.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)e144-e160
JournalThe Lancet Global Health
Volume9
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Feb 2021

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