A Novel Discrete Time Series Representation With De Bruijn Graphs for Enhanced Forecasting Using TimesNet

Mert Onur Cakiroglu, Hasan Kurban*, Elham Buxton, Mehmet Dalkilic

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

In this paper, we present a novel method for advancing time series forecasting by representing discretized time series data through de Bruijn Graphs (dBGs). This method harnesses the capability of dBGs to encapsulate and project future states from historical sequences, thus enhancing predictive analytics in time series. Our approach is multi-faceted, involving: 1) encoding time series data as a dBG; 2) the application of graph representation learning, specifically struct2vec, to distill salient features from dBG constructed from time series and 3) the seamless integration of these extracted features into the state of the art TimesNet model to bolster short-term forecasting accuracy. Empirical evaluations conducted on the M4 datasets illustrate that our approach not only maintains the intrinsic dynamics of the time series but also achieves notable improvements in forecasting performance across diverse datasets.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)123182-123198
Number of pages17
JournalIEEE Access
Volume13
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 14 Jul 2025

Keywords

  • Accuracy
  • Computational modeling
  • Data models
  • De Bruijn graph
  • Encoding
  • Feature extraction
  • Forecasting
  • Graph embeddings
  • Predictive models
  • Time series analysis
  • TimesNet
  • Training
  • Transformers

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'A Novel Discrete Time Series Representation With De Bruijn Graphs for Enhanced Forecasting Using TimesNet'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this