A hybrid fuzzy time series model for forecasting

Saima Hassan*, Jafreezal Jaafar, Brahim B. Samir, Tahseen A. Jilani

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

10 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Researchers are finding their way to solve the chaotic and uncertain problems using the extensions of classical fuzzy model. At present Interval Type-2 Fuzzy logic Systems (IT2-FLS) are extensively used after the thriving exploitation of Type-2 FLS. Fuzzy time series models have been used for forecasting stock and FOREX indexes, enrollments, temperature, disease diagnosing and weather. In this paper an integrated fuzzy time series model based on ARIMA and IT2-FLS is presented. The propose model will use ARIMA to select appropriate coefficients from the observed dataset. IT2-FLS is utilized here for forecasting the result with more accuracy and certainty.

Original languageEnglish
JournalEngineering Letters
Volume20
Issue number1
Publication statusPublished - 27 Feb 2012
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models
  • Fuzzy logic system (FLS)
  • Interval type-ii fuzzy logic systems (IT2-FLS)
  • Time series forecasting
  • Type-1 fuzzy sets (T1-FS)
  • Type-2 fuzzy sets (T2-FS)

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